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No Crypto Market Structure Deal Could Lead To Increased Regulatory Crackdown, Expert Says


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Which is long awaited The law of claritywidely viewed as a cornerstone of a comprehensive structural framework for the US cryptocurrency market, failed to meet the March 1 deadline set by the White House two weeks ago.

The administration has urged both the cryptocurrency industry and the banking sector to find common ground to move the legislation forward. This agreement has not yet been achieved.

Cryptocurrency bill reaches the “yield wall”

Representatives from both industries have held a series of meetings at the White House, often describing the discussions as “constructive.” However, despite that tone, Negotiations I stopped at a critical point.

While the Senate Agriculture Committee approved its portion of the bill, progress in the Senate Banking Committee has slowed to a trickle.

The sticking point centers around whether issuers of stablecoins should be allowed to offer yield or rewards to holders — an issue that has delayed any tokenization date for the Banking Commission’s section of the legislation.

The dispute has raised speculation that if lawmakers fail to reach an agreement, federal regulators may return to a tougher stance on cryptocurrency companies.

Market commentator Paul Barron He said The bill effectively ran into what it described as a “yield wall,” a reference to the impasse over stablecoin rewards. He noted that the cryptocurrency industry is pushing for the right to provide a regulated return on stablecoins, arguing that without this flexibility, the United States risks pushing innovation abroad.

If a compromise is not reached, Baron suggested that the likely outcome would be continued “regulation through enforcement” by agencies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

On the other hand, there is a compromise – for example, a restriction Stablecoin return For qualified investors – can unlock significant institutional capital.

This potential is consistent with expectations from JP Morgan, which expects significant institutional flows into digital assets in the latter half of 2026 if regulatory clarity improves.

Corporate Boom Under the CLARITY Act

JP Morgan analysts, led by Nikolaos Panigirzoglou, described the potential passage of the CLARITY Act as a critical turning point for the cryptocurrency market.

according to Preparing reports From market expert MartyParty The bank views the bill not as a simple regulatory amendment but as a structural reform of the US digital asset framework.

In a recent research note, JPMorgan identified three interconnected impacts that could follow approval of the bill. First, it would end the current reliance on enforcement procedures as the primary means of oversight, replacing uncertainty with specific rules.

Second, it can shift institutional engagement with cryptocurrencies from initial exploration to high-conviction engagement. Third, it may speed up the coding process Real world origins (RWAs), a trend that many financial institutions are developing cautiously.

New negotiations are expected to resume in the Senate in April 2026, with July 2026 considered an unofficial deadline before the election cycle begins to dominate the legislative agenda and reduce the likelihood of major policy breakthroughs.

encryption
The daily chart shows that the total market cap of cryptocurrencies rose to $2.35 trillion on Monday. Source: Total on TradingView.com

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

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